Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 108.594662 123.345421 139.579198 158.806121 181.002170 205.874824 235.932963
2026-02-01 87.817973 107.228543 130.359110 160.093686 197.503554 243.269315 303.895266
2026-02-08 73.945556 94.979609 121.489859 157.624309 206.008733 269.140622 358.702976
2026-02-15 65.528361 87.691632 116.929139 158.747909 217.720117 298.948305 421.100734
2026-02-22 59.422724 82.364920 113.841988 160.787325 230.061132 330.157187 488.733623
2026-03-01 52.798530 75.396641 107.455357 157.014840 233.070121 347.645023 537.671805
2026-03-08 47.552926 69.748236 102.198578 154.023833 236.456572 365.497560 588.817939
2026-03-15 43.562758 65.494959 98.468159 152.751302 242.043460 386.980599 648.177091
2026-03-22 41.720130 64.284206 99.164024 158.359909 259.088634 428.715877 747.339906
2026-03-29 39.844994 62.808310 99.234784 162.839139 274.572863 469.398427 850.107978
2026-04-05 37.143620 59.737684 96.407416 162.076717 280.771074 494.316401 926.819357
2026-04-12 35.247607 57.814253 95.271105 164.045194 291.912681 529.258305 1027.565181
2026-04-19 32.708963 54.797265 92.358712 163.215968 299.074422 560.032562 1130.102301
2026-04-26 30.749944 52.629637 90.761590 164.707312 311.034130 602.203549 1265.082694
2026-05-03 28.412653 49.566442 87.252176 162.167706 314.703466 628.131828 1369.193834
2026-05-10 26.836184 47.724151 85.770224 163.327607 325.899698 671.125626 1519.875557
2026-05-17 25.532864 46.260448 84.837070 165.432202 339.265230 720.603782 1695.304762
2026-05-24 23.631153 43.500533 81.167431 161.539265 339.212262 740.119100 1800.217598
2026-05-31 22.004606 41.133457 78.049694 158.452976 340.524482 762.890084 1917.840543
2026-06-07 20.717141 39.323376 75.876004 157.139966 345.667282 795.417497 2067.943012
2026-06-14 20.253112 39.110779 76.909991 162.927247 368.061646 873.372042 2360.521634
2026-06-21 19.696609 38.660753 77.404731 167.549660 388.272207 949.002907 2663.422661
2026-06-28 18.688675 37.195686 75.626819 166.762836 395.043358 990.674687 2873.428840